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Mr. Mouse
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 235 |
CSDb - Quantify Me Too - Hype stopped?
Heya folks.
I thought I'd get the data of CSDb again for another analysis like I did for the CSDb - Quantify Me ( CSDb - Quantify Me ) release back in 2010. It's been now more than 4 years on, would be interesting to compare the pivotal line chart from that analysis with the current state of affairs:
In the chart you see the data of today, compared to the 31st of July 2010. You can also see a lot of more additions have been made to the database, most releases attributed to the period between 1984 and, say, 1997.
At that time in 2010, 88380 releases were in my analysis, of which 76425 did have a release year listed. Today, I counted 130743 releases, with 113612 having a release year. So that's 37186 new CSDb additions with a release year since back then. Of course, most of this is due to stuff that was apparently made back in the 80s and 90s.
I would like to draw your attention to the period after 2010 however, that showed a steady increase of yearly number of releases, from 1046 in 2010 to 2037 in 2013. The latter number is touching the number in 1984, mind you. In this light, I would point out the drunken rambling in a word document I put at the end of the third of these CSDb - Quantify Me pages ( http://www.xentax.com/?page_id=235, http://www.xentax.com/?page_id=254, http://www.xentax.com/?page_id=265 ). In effect, this one: http://c64.xentax.com/downloads/csdb_quantifyme_part2_mindspook..
There I suggested (so in 2010) that we might be reliving a hyped surge in C64 activity, not unlike that seen in the Golden Age of C64 (the 80s).
Further drunken analysis might now confirm that, since the rise in the years after that is pretty clear. ;-) Where's that bottle of wodka? Anyway, what is somewhat troubling though, is that 2014 seems to be a year of decline. Has the hype stopped, ladies and gentlemen? Have we all now gone through our mid-life crises and/or died and is there no future? ;-) |
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Mr. Mouse
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 235 |
*chuckle* internet trolls never hit any sore spots.
But you are right about two things though: I do wank to statistics, having an epidemiological background, and I agree that releasing C64 software is preferable. :)
Nevertheless, stats can tell us a lot about the world, and even a little bit about CSDb and the dynamics of the releases these days. Since 2010, for two years in a row we saw a linear increase in the numbers (+400 each consecutive year), which is unprecedented since the year 2000. When, as is the case here, over a time span of about 15 years this never happened, then even a die-hard conservative epidemiologist will raise some eyebrows and ask "what's going on here?". And it just so happens that my analysis in 2010 was predictive of this. Be it done in a drunken state in a piece called mindspook. ;-)
And that in my opinion is the beauty of stats, of registries and of dirty data collections. Call it my hobby. I just like numbers. And I like to dig deep to find confounding factors. |
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chatGPZ
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 11357 |
Quote:internet trolls never hit any sore spots.
just like statistics don't ever really tell us anything, except for what the one making them wants to tell us. |
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Mr. Mouse
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 235 |
Quote: Quote:internet trolls never hit any sore spots.
just like statistics don't ever really tell us anything, except for what the one making them wants to tell us.
I see. Well, in that case, I have some further reading that might interest you as well: http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,..
Back to topic, this is the distribution of the release types by release year, and it tells us the proportion of all the different types per year. Looks like especially large (relative) spikes were seen in graphics and music (and cracks) the past few years.
Or more specifically the past 5 years:
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chatGPZ
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 11357 |
Quote:I see. Well, in that case, I have some further reading that might interest you as well
cool story bro. about as useful as this stats wanking (yet more entertaining) |
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hedning
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4723 |
I like these kind of statistics, whatever they might say. Keep them coming. |
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MagerValp
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 1074 |
Quoting Mr. MouseBack to topic, this is the distribution of the release types by release year, and it tells us the proportion of all the different types per year. Looks like especially large (relative) spikes were seen in graphics and music (and cracks) the past few years.
Nice! Could you do a distribution graph with absolute values as well? |
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Oswald
Registered: Apr 2002
Posts: 5086 |
way too much releasetypes up there impossible to distuingish all those similar colors. |
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Mr. SID
Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 424 |
Statistics like this don't mean anything, if you can have a dip in the curve just because JSL throws a hissy fit, or a peak because someone decides to do a "Get Ready Tune Competition"... :)
Oh and what Oswald said! |
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Mr. Mouse
Registered: Dec 2001
Posts: 235 |
Quote: Statistics like this don't mean anything, if you can have a dip in the curve just because JSL throws a hissy fit, or a peak because someone decides to do a "Get Ready Tune Competition"... :)
Oh and what Oswald said!
Statistics like this mean absolutely something, because you can actually now proceed to show that curves are due to events like you mention. That's what this is all about: pointing to the confounding factors and/or covariates that gave rise to the baseline curve. After all, the results above are "as is", raw data, and purely descriptive. Next up is looking into depth. :) |
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Frantic
Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 1646 |
nice! |
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